PREDICTION OF SPORTS RESULTS IN YOUNG SWIMMERS
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.32782/2522-1795.2024.18.4.14Keywords:
forecasting, sports result, morphological and functional indicators, hydrodynamic qualities, level of biological maturing of an organismAbstract
Background and Study Aim. Study of stability of results of the morphofunctional condition, physical fitness and competitive activity is the main predictor of an athlete’s individual development: if these indicators are stable, then the development can be predicted the prediction will be inaccurate due to the high variability of the results of multi-year observations. This will allow to determine the potential movement capabilities of those who are engaged, this will make it possible to more rationally plan the volume of training loads in the annual training cycle, choose adequate training means. The aim of the study – to determine the criteria for predicting sports results in freestyle swimming at a distance of 100 m in young swimmers aged 16 years. Material and Methods. 35 young swimmers aged 10–16 years took part in the research. The research was conducted in the sports complex of Lutsk National Technical University (LNTU) in April 2024. The following methods were used in the work: theoretical analysis of literary data, methods of determining the morphofunctional state, methods of identifying hydrodynamic qualities, methods of determining the biological maturation of an organism; pedagogical control tests (swimming distances – 25 m, 50 m, 100 m, 200 m freestyle); methods of mathematical statistics. Results. The stablest indicators are the body length, length of a foot, a hand and foot. During all analyzed age periods the reliable interrelation between length of sliding and the maximum speed of swimming which considerably increases with age is revealed. Initial sports results with different level of maturing of an organism make unequal impact on sporting achievements of young swimmers at the age of 16 years at various distances. In process of increase in length of a distance stability of indicators of competitive activity increases. During predicting sports results in freestyle swimming at the age of 16, the initial results, the rates of their growth during the period of the first two years of training, the level of biological development of young swimmers were taken into account. Conclusions. The presented materials can be used for forecasting of expected development of physical readiness of young swimmers.
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